# multinomial models

### Multinomial random effects models in R

This post is partly a response to this message. The author of that question is working on ordered categorical data. For that specific case, there are several packages in R that might work, none of which I’ve tried. The most promising is the function `DPolmm()`

from DPpackage. It’s worth noting, though, that in that package you are committed to a Dirichlet Process prior for the random effects (instead of the more standard Gaussian). A different package, mprobit allows one clustering factor. This could be suitable, depending on the data set. MNP, mlogit, multinomRob, vbmp, `nnet`

, and msm all offer some capability of modeling ordered categorical data, and it’s possible that one of them allows for random effects (though I haven’t discovered any yet). MCMCpack may also be useful, as it provides MCMC implementations for a large class of regression models. `lrm()`

from the `Design`

package handles ordered categorical data, and clustered bootstrap sampling can be used for a single cluster effect.

I’ve recently had some success using MCMCglmm for the analysis of unordered multinomial data, and want to post a quick annotated example here. It should be noted that the tutorial on the CRAN page is extremely useful, and I encourage anyone using the package to work through it.

I’m going to cheat a bit in my choice of data sets, in that I won’t be using data from a real experiment with a multinomial (or polychotomous) outcome. Instead, I want to use a publicly available data set with some relevance to language research. I also need a categorical dependent variable with more than two levels for this demo to be interesting. Looking through the data sets provided in the `languageR`

package, I noticed that the `dative`

data set has a column `SemanticClass`

which has five levels. We’ll use this as our dependent variable for this example. We’ll investigate whether the semantic class of a ditransitive event is influenced by the modality in which it is produced (spoken or written).

library(MCMCglmm) data("dative", package = "languageR") k <- length(levels(dative$SemanticClass)) I <- diag(k-1) J <- matrix(rep(1, (k-1)^2), c(k-1, k-1)) m <- MCMCglmm(SemanticClass ~ -1 + trait + Modality, random = ~ us(trait):Verb + us(Modality):Verb, rcov = ~ us(trait):units, prior = list( R = list(fix=1, V=0.5 * (I + J), n = 4), G = list( G1 = list(V = diag(4), n = 4), G2 = list(V = diag(2), n = 2))), burnin = 15000, nitt = 40000, family = "categorical", data = dative)

Read on for an explanation of this model specification, along with some functions for evaluating the model fit.